The Graph Model for Conflict Resolution (GMCR): Reflections on Three Decades of Development

Miroslaw Romanowski Lecture, Royal Society of Canada

Keith W. Hipel

Officer of the Order of Canada

FRSC, NAE, PhD, DrHC, HDSc, PEng, Hon.D.WRE, FCAE, FEIC, FIEEE, FASCE, FAWRA, FINCOSE, FAAAS
University Professor, Department of Systems Design Engineering
University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada N2L 3G1

Former President, Academy of Science, Royal Society of Canada
Senior Fellow, Centre for International Governance Innovation
Fellow, Balsillie School of International Affairs
Coordinator, Conflict Analysis Group, University of Waterloo

DATE：2019.1.8  9：00-11：00AM，

CLASSROOM:JINGUAN Building Room704

Abstract

The fundamental design and inherent capabilities of the Graph Model for Conflict Resolution (GMCR) to address a rich range of complex real world conflict situations are put into perspective by tracing its historical development over a period spanning more than thirty years, and highlighting great opportunities for meaningful future expansions within an era of artificial intelligence (AI) and intensifying conflict in an over-crowded world. By constructing a sound theoretical foundation for GMCR based upon assumptions reflecting what actually occurs in reality, a fascinating story is narrated on how GMCR was able to expand in bold new directions as well as take advantages of many important legacy decision technologies built within the earlier Metagame Analysis and later Conflict Analysis paradigms. From its predecessors, for instance, GMCR could take advantage of option form put forward within Metagame Analysis for effectively recording a conflict as well as preference elicitation techniques and solution concepts for defining chess-like behavior when calculating stability of states from the realm of Conflict Analysis.

Institute of intelligent decision and risk analysis